How many House of Representatives seats will the Freedom Party (PVV) win in the next Dutch general election?
Started
Jun 13, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 29, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 29, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The nationalist PVV led by Geert Wilders won the most seats in the Dutch general elections held in November 2023, but the party left the coalition government in June 2025, triggering new elections (AP, Politico.eu).
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The question closed "Between 22 and 26" with a closing date of 29 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 17 | 1% | |
| Between 17 and 21 | 2% | |
| Between 22 and 26 | 14% | |
| Between 27 and 31 | 50% | |
| Between 32 and 36 | 29% | |
| Between 37 and 41 | 2% | |
| Between 42 and 46 | 1% | |
| 47 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 186 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
