How will the Democratic Party candidate perform in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election?
Started
Jun 13, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
New Jersey primary voters went to the polls on 10 June 2025, with Democrats nominating US Representative Mikie Sherill and Republicans nominating former State Representative Jack Ciattarelli (NBC News, AP).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Democratic candidate will not win the election | 6.40% | -6.90% | -6.50% | -0.60% |
| The Democratic candidate will win with less than 50% of the vote | 12.30% | -2.40% | -4.10% | -7.70% |
| The Democratic candidate will win with at least 50% but less than 54% of the vote | 56.70% | +2.90% | +0.80% | -1.30% |
| The Democratic candidate will win with 54% or more of the vote | 24.60% | +6.40% | +9.80% | +9.60% |