Labrat1 asks:

Before 20 January 2026, will the Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet in person?

Started Jun 13, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 21, 2025 06:00PM UTC

After the public falling out between President Trump and Elon Musk, observers are speculating about the future of their political relationship (BBC, CNN). The meeting must be face-to-face to count, and merely being in the same room or building without the two making eye contact will not count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 21 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 35%
No 65%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 71
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 221
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.461377
2.
-0.461177
3.
-0.460416

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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