Before 3 October 2025, will Masoud Pezeshkian either flee Iran or cease to be its president?
Started
Jun 15, 2025 08:15PM UTC
Closed Oct 03, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 03, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Amid ongoing Israeli attacks against Iran's nuclear and military capabilities, observers have discussed the potential for regime change in Iran (MSN [Reuters], Yahoo [Telegraph], Politico, The Week India). Whether or not Pezeshkian has fled Iran will be determined using credible, open-source media reporting.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 173 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
