Libya has seen an increase in violence as political adversaries struggle to exercise control in the country (Arab Weekly, France 24, Crisis24). The question will be suspended on 20 October 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) Explorer (ACLED). On the left side of the screen, (1) select "Fatality Counts," (2) select "All Event Types," (3) select "Custom Date Range" and set the date range as appropriate, (4) select nothing (5) select only "Libya," (6) select "No," (7) select "Country," (8) select "No," (9) select "No," (10) select "Yes" and choose "Month," and click "Run Calculations." As of the launch of this question, ACLED reported 72 total fatalities in Libya between 20 June 2024 and 20 October 2024. Data will be accessed for resolution no sooner than 28 October 2025.

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NOTE 5 August 2025: ACLED has substantially changed its interface and accessibility for data. We are reviewing options to for data access that will be consistent with the resolution criteria as of launch, and we have contacted ACLED to work through this. We will provide further updates as they are available. You should be able to create an account with ACLED as an "other" user to access some data, but not with the granularity that used to be afforded by ACLED Explorer.

NOTE 12 August 2025: As previously noted, ACLED has substantially changed its interface and accessibility for data, and efforts to seek an accommodation have not borne fruit. However, after reviewing ACLED data options now currently available, there is an imperfect but reasonable workaround. The outcome will now be determined using "Aggregated data on Africa," which includes fatalities data (ACLED - Africa Data, see "Libya" under "COUNTRY"). These data are recorded by week (the date shown is the first day of the week depicted, so "05-July-2025" would cover 5-11 July 2025). The outcome will be determined by summing up the fatalities for the week starting 14 June 2025 through the week starting 18 October 2025 no sooner than 28 October 2025. Since the data for these weeks include a few days outside of the original date range, if the answer bin that is ultimately correct is dependent on the fatalities for the weeks of 14 June 2025 and 18 October 2025, the new ACLED explorer functionality will also be used to parse figures for individual days (ACLED Explorer, free registration required). Thank you for your patience as we adjust to ACLED's changes.

The question closed "At least 50, but fewer than 100" with a closing date of 21 October 2025.

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