What will be the value of Drewry's World Container Index (WCI) for Shanghai to Los Angeles on 11 December 2025?

Started Jun 20, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 11, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Pauses in "reciprocal" tariffs from the US boosted shipping demand from China to the US in May and June 2025 (CNBC, Freight Waves). The question will be suspended on 10 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the WCI index value for 11 December 2025 for Shanghai to Los Angeles as reported by Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited (Drewry, hover your cursor over the "Drewry WCI: Trade Routes from Shanghai (US$/40ft)" chart for data, Marine Insights). On 12 December 2024, the value of the WCI for Shanghai to Los Angeles was $3,582.

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The question closed "At least $1,800, but less than $2,700" with a closing date of 11 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,800 1%
At least $1,800, but less than $2,700 82%
At least $2,700, but less than $3,600 14%
At least $3,600, but less than $4,500 1%
At least $4,500, but less than $5,400 1%
At least $5,400, but less than $6,400 1%
At least $6,400, but less than $7,500 1%
At least $7,500, but less than $8,700 1%
At least $8,700, but less than $10,000 1%
$10,000 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 11
Average for questions older than 6 months: 159
Number of Forecasts 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 472
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.018965
2.
-0.018236
3.
-0.016678
4.
-0.001697
5.
-0.001116

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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