What will be the percentage of national parliament voting intention for the Fidesz party in Hungary as of 27 December 2025, according to Politico?
Closing Dec 27, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Led by Viktor Orban, a coalition of Fidesz and the Christian Democratic People's Party (KDNP) has held either a two-thirds supermajority or a majority of seats in the National Assembly since 2010 (Britannica - Fidesz, NPR). The Respect and Freedom Party (Tisztelet és Szabadság Párt, or "Tisza") led by Péter Magyar is challenging Fidesz's grip on Hungarian politics (Deutsche Welle, AP, MSN [Reuters]). The next parliamentary election is expected to be held in April 2026 (Balkan Insight). The question will be suspended on 26 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as provided in Politico's "Poll of Polls" page for Hungary no earlier than 5 January 2026 (Politico, use default "Smooth" view). Whether elections are called early and/or take place during the question's open period is immaterial.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 25% | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | +0.50% |
| At least 25%, but less than 30% | 0.60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 30%, but less than 35% | 3.50% | 0% | +1.90% | +0.10% |
| At least 35%, but less than 40% | 30.90% | +3.00% | +7.80% | +12.60% |
| At least 40%, but less than 45% | 42.10% | +5.50% | +2.70% | +8.90% |
| At least 45%, but less than 50% | 20.00% | -8.50% | -12.30% | -16.00% |
| 50% or more | 2.40% | 0% | -0.10% | -6.10% |