Who will win the New York City (NYC) election for mayor in 2025?
Started
Jul 03, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
After socialist Zohran Mamdani beat Andrew Cuomo in the Democratic Party primary for NYC mayor, many are expecting a number of contenders in the general election (USA Today, CNN). The general election for NYC mayor is scheduled for 4 November 2025 (NYC Campaign Finance Board).
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The question closed "Zohran Mamdani" with a closing date of 4 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Adams | 0% | |
| Andrew Cuomo | 8% | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 91% | |
| Curtis Sliwa | 1% | |
| Jim Walden | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 123 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 333 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
