Will the Ferrero Group's (Ferrero's) acquisition of breakfast cereal maker WK Kellogg Co (Kellogg) close before 1 January 2026?

Started Jul 11, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 26, 2025 12:30PM UTC
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On 10 July 2025, Kellogg announced an agreement to be acquired by Ferrero in an all-cash deal "subject to approval by WK Kellogg Co shareowners, regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions" that is expected to close in 2025 (PR Newswire - WK Kellogg, CBS News). Whether a complaint is filed by the Department of Justice or the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is immaterial (FTC - Merger Review, Department of Justice - Merger Review Process, Investopedia - Antitrust). The question will close early if both Ferrero and Kellogg announce that they are no longer seeking to close the deal.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 35%
No 66%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 8
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 14
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.546603
2.
-0.448947
3.
-0.134005
4.
-0.023532
5.
0.015422

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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