Who will win the 2025 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series?

Started Jul 22, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 14, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The 77th Emmy Awards are scheduled for 14 September 2025 (Television Academy, CBS News). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Noah Wyle, "The Pitt"" with a closing date of 14 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Sterling K. Brown, "Paradise" 6%
Gary Oldman, "Slow Horses" 4%
Pedro Pascal, "The Last of Us" 18%
Adam Scott, "Severance" 20%
Noah Wyle, "The Pitt" 53%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 43
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.623054
2.
-0.553391
3.
-0.552176
4.
-0.339698
5.
-0.176193

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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