How much money will be spent by "independent spenders" in the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral campaign?
Closed Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC
The NYC mayoral race is expected to attract a great deal of independent expenditures on behalf of and against candidates (ABC7, City & State NY). The question will be suspended on 3 November 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the NYC Finance Board (Board) (NYC Campaign Finance Board - Independent Spenders, parameters set in link, see value next to "Search Total"). Data for between and including the dates of 1 January 2025 and 4 November 2025 using the "Amount/Date" functionality on the left side of the website will be accessed for resolution on 12 November 2025. As of the launch of this question, the Board reported a total of $30,130,551.86 between 1 January 2025 and 30 June 2025. Additional summary data are available from the Board, though the link above will be used for resolution (NYC Campaign Finance Board, select "Mayor").
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The question closed "At least $60 million, but less than $70 million" with a closing date of 5 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $40 million | 1% | |
| At least $40 million, but less than $50 million | 8% | |
| At least $50 million, but less than $60 million | 6% | |
| At least $60 million, but less than $70 million | 1% | |
| At least $70 million, but less than $85 million | 3% | |
| At least $85 million, but less than $100 million | 20% | |
| At least $100 million, but less than $120 million | 59% | |
| $120 million or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 11 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 30 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
