Who will win the Minneapolis, Minnesota, election for mayor in 2025?

Started Jul 25, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The Minneapolis Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL), a state political party affiliated with the US Democratic Party, endorsed State Sen. Omar Fateh over incumbent Mayor Jacob Frey at its 2025 convention in July 2025 (The Hill, Newsweek). The general election for Minneapolis mayor is scheduled for 4 November 2025 (Ballotpedia). No primaries are held for this race.

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The question closed "Jacob Frey" with a closing date of 4 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
DeWayne Davis 5%
Omar Fateh 11%
Jacob Frey 83%
Someone else 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 69
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.047035
2.
-0.044475
3.
-0.019146
4.
-0.015214
5.
-0.010427

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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