How much net electricity will the US generate in 2026, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Electricity demand in the US is expected to grow amid, among other things, expanding AI infrastructure (Yahoo [Reuters], Utility Dive, ICF International). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using data using data provided by the EIA for "Total (including from sources not shown)" at the bottom of the table (EIA, click "DOWNLOAD" for additional options). Under "TABLE 7.2a Electricity Net Generation: Total (All Sectors)," see "Total (including from sources not shown)." As of the launch of this question, the EIA reported that the US generated 4,304,038.717 million kilowatt hours (kWh), or 4,304.038717 terawatt hours (TWh), in 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 4,250 TWh | 0.70% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 4,250 TWh, but less than 4,350 TWh | 1.40% | 0% | +0.10% | -1.30% |
| At least 4,350 TWh, but less than 4,450 TWh | 15.30% | 0% | +0.40% | -0.50% |
| At least 4,450 TWh, but less than 4,550 TWh | 54.00% | +0.30% | +1.70% | +1.00% |
| At least 4,550 TWh, but less than 4,650 TWh | 24.30% | -0.30% | -1.40% | +0.40% |
| At least 4,650 TWh, but less than 4,750 TWh | 2.70% | 0% | -0.80% | +0.40% |
| At least 4,750 TWh, but less than 4,850 TWh | 0.60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 4,850 TWh, but less than 4,950 TWh | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4,950 TWh or more | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |