Before 1 December 2025, will the parties in Bartz v. Anthropic PBC (Anthropic) publicly announce that a settlement agreement or agreements covering all claims related to pirated materials in the case has been reached?

Started Aug 01, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 26, 2025 09:00PM UTC
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In August 2024, a group of authors sued artificial intelligence (AI) technology firm Anthropic over its use of their works to train the company's AI systems (Guardian, Court Listener - Bartz v. Anthropic PBC Complaint). In June 2025, the trial court judge ruled that Anthropic's use of legally purchased copies of author's works was permissible as fair use, but said they would continue on to trial over Anthropic's use of pirated copies of works used to train its models (NPR, Bartz v. Anthropic PBC - Order on Fair Use). As of the launch of this question, the trial was scheduled to start on 1 December 2025 (Yahoo [Fortune]). A party reserving the right to appeal any rulings not related to pirated materials is immaterial. Whether the settlement is ultimately approved by the court is immaterial. The case name is Bartz v. Anthropic PBC,3:24-cv-05417, (N.D. Cal.) (Court Listener).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 August 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 25%
No 75%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 11
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 19
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
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Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.173456
2.
-1.03864
3.
-0.408576
4.
-0.304216
5.
-0.145248

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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