Will Australia and/or New Zealand announce an intention to recognize a Palestinian state before 1 January 2026?

Started Aug 01, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

On 24 July 2025, French President Emmanuel Macron announced that France will recognize Palestine as a state, making it the first G7 nation to do so and with Canada following suit on 30 July 2025 (AP, BBC, Prime Minister of Canada, Justia - Formation and Recognition of States Under International Law). As of the launch of this question, neither Australia nor New Zealand recognized Palestine as a state. An announcement explicitly stating that the country will recognize a Palestinian state will count, but aspirational (e.g., "someday," "positive consideration") or conditional announcements (e.g., AP) will not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, only Australia 33.00% -1.00% 0% +7.81%
Yes, only New Zealand 7.00% 0% 0% -0.19%
Yes, both Australia and New Zealand 48.00% +1.00% 0% -10.94%
No 12.00% 0% 0% +3.31%

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