Before 1 January 2026, will the Royal College of Nursing (RCN), a trade union of nurses in the UK, vote in the affirmative to run an "industrial action" (e.g., a strike)?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The largest nurses union in the UK is threatening to run an "industrial action" if their pay demands are not met (BBC, Gov.uk - Industrial Action, Holding a Ballot, Guardian). Whether the approved industrial action is a strike or an action short of a strike is immaterial (Gov.uk - Industrial Actions and Strikes). The question will close as of the date or final day of formal voting by the membership of the RCN.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | |
| No | 90% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 21 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 60 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
