What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for "Avatar: Fire and Ash," according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Aug 15, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 20, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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"Avatar: Fire and Ash" is the third film of James Cameron's Avatar franchise (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 19 December 2025 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 19-21 December 2025 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly. "Domestic" refers to gross box-office revenue from North America (US, Canada, and Puerto Rico) (IMDb - Box Office Mojo FAQ).

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NOTE 21 August 2025: We have corrected a typo. The weekend is the dates of 19-21 December 2025, not 19-22 December 2025. The resolution criteria have been updated.


The question closed "At least $75 million, but less than $100 million" with a closing date of 22 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $75 million 1%
At least $75 million, but less than $100 million 22%
At least $100 million, but less than $125 million 50%
At least $125 million, but less than $150 million 22%
At least $150 million, but less than $175 million 4%
At least $175 million, but less than $200 million 1%
At least $200 million, but less than $225 million 0%
$225 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 17
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 71
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.315023
2.
-0.222737
3.
-0.15999
4.
-0.079779
5.
-0.061851

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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