What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for "Avatar: Fire and Ash," according to Box Office Mojo?
Closing Dec 20, 2025 08:01AM UTC
"Avatar: Fire and Ash" is the third film of James Cameron's Avatar franchise (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 19 December 2025 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 19-21 December 2025 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly. "Domestic" refers to gross box-office revenue from North America (US, Canada, and Puerto Rico) (IMDb - Box Office Mojo FAQ).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
NOTE 21 August 2025: We have corrected a typo. The weekend is the dates of 19-21 December 2025, not 19-22 December 2025. The resolution criteria have been updated.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $75 million | 12.30% | 0% | 0% | +0.30% |
| At least $75 million, but less than $100 million | 11.60% | 0% | +0.50% | +1.90% |
| At least $100 million, but less than $125 million | 22.60% | 0% | +7.50% | +7.60% |
| At least $125 million, but less than $150 million | 23.40% | 0% | -0.40% | -2.70% |
| At least $150 million, but less than $175 million | 21.60% | 0% | -4.90% | -4.90% |
| At least $175 million, but less than $200 million | 6.20% | 0% | -2.50% | -1.50% |
| At least $200 million, but less than $225 million | 1.30% | 0% | -0.20% | -1.10% |
| $225 million or more | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | +0.40% |