The University Forecasting Challenge asks:
What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for "Wicked: For Good," according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed Nov 22, 2025 08:01AM UTC
"Wicked: For Good" is the sequel to the 2024 film "Wicked," the adaptation of the popular Broadway musical of the same name (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 21 November 2025 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 21-23 November 2025 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly. "Domestic" refers to gross box-office revenue from North America (US, Canada, and Puerto Rico) (IMDb - Box Office Mojo FAQ).
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The question closed "At least $140 million, but less than $160 million" with a closing date of 24 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $60 million | 0% | |
| At least $60 million, but less than $80 million | 1% | |
| At least $80 million, but less than $100 million | 1% | |
| At least $100 million, but less than $120 million | 10% | |
| At least $120 million, but less than $140 million | 34% | |
| At least $140 million, but less than $160 million | 32% | |
| At least $160 million, but less than $180 million | 17% | |
| At least $180 million, but less than $200 million | 4% | |
| $200 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 63 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 203 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
