Will early elections for the French National Assembly (Assemblée Nationale) be called before 8 November 2025?
Closed Nov 08, 2025 08:01AM UTC
French President Emmanuel Macron is potentially facing a decision on whether to call early elections as Prime Minister Bayrou's budget gambit may lead to a loss of a confidence vote scheduled for 8 September 2025 (France 24, AP, Politico). The constitutional mechanism used to dissolve the National Assembly and call early elections is found in Article 12 of the Constitution of the Fifth Republic (French Constitution). The date the elections would be held is immaterial.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 8 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 170 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
