What will be the monthly supply of new houses in the US in August 2026?
Closing Sep 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
The US Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) regularly report the seasonally adjusted "supply" of new homes in the US, which is the ratio of new homes for sale to new homes sold for a given month, which has shown a growing inventory of new homes in the US (National Mortgage Professional, Yahoo [Reuters]). This ratio indicates how long the current for-sale inventory would last given the current sales rate if no additional new houses were built (Mortgage News Daily). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2026 and the outcome determined using Census and HUD data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the monthly supply of new houses in May 2025 was 9.6.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5.5 months | 13.90% | 0% | 0% | +0.50% |
| At least 5.5 months, but less than 6.5 months | 10.60% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |
| At least 6.5 months, but less than 7.5 months | 8.50% | 0% | 0% | +1.50% |
| At least 7.5 months, but less than 8.5 months | 8.10% | 0% | +0.20% | -7.20% |
| At least 8.5 months, but less than 9.5 months | 12.00% | 0% | +0.40% | -0.70% |
| At least 9.5 months, but less than 10.5 months | 36.70% | 0% | -0.10% | +6.50% |
| At least 10.5 months, but less than 11.5 months | 8.20% | 0% | -0.50% | +0.10% |
| 11.5 months or more | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | +0.30% |