What will be the highest reported Arctic sea ice extent in 2026 as of 6 April 2026?
Closing Apr 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Arctic sea ice extent, a measure of the ocean area in the northern hemisphere that is at least 15% sea ice, has trended down in past decades (NSIDC). The question will be suspended on 5 April 2026 and the outcome determined using graph data as provided by the National Snow & Ice Data Center's (NSIDC's) "Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 6 April 2026 (Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph, click "Arctic" on the left side above the graph, NSIDC - About Charctic Data). The question will close as of the date of the highest reported Arctic sea ice extent (the most recent if there is a tie for the highest extent). Other site data are immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the highest daily reported Arctic sea ice extent in 2025 was 14.307 million sq. km on 22 March.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 13.30 million sq. km | 3.00% | +2.00% | +1.00% | +2.00% |
| At least 13.30 million sq. km, but less than 13.65 million sq. km | 7.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% | +5.00% |
| At least 13.65 million sq. km, but less than 14.00 million sq. km | 25.00% | +2.00% | +1.00% | +20.00% |
| At least 14.00 million sq. km, but less than 14.35 million sq. km | 28.00% | 0% | -1.00% | +14.00% |
| At least 14.35 million sq. km, but less than 14.70 million sq. km | 23.00% | -3.00% | -1.00% | -33.00% |
| At least 14.70 million sq. km, but less than 15.05 million sq. km | 11.00% | -2.00% | 0% | -5.00% |
| At least 15.05 million sq. km, but less than 15.40 million sq. km | 3.00% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |
| At least 15.40 million sq. km, but less than 15.75 million sq. km | 0% | 0% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| 15.75 million sq. km or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |