Before 1 January 2027, will the government of Papua New Guinea (PNG) ratify the results of the Bougainville independence referendum?

Started Sep 19, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC

After a 2019 referendum on independence for Bougainville, an autonomous region of Papua New Guinea, passed overwhelmingly, the region has been waiting on the parliament of Papua New Guinea to ratify the results (Lowy Institute, Papua New Guinea Today (2022), The Diplomat, Guardian). The political leadership of Bougainville has stated that it may declare independence unilaterally in 2027 if parliament fails to ratify (Autonomous Bougainville Government, Autonomous Bougainville Government - 2001 Peace Agreement).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 17.20% 0% 0% -7.30%
No 82.80% 0% 0% +7.30%

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