Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will Emmanuel Macron cease to be the President of the French Republic?
Started
Sep 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
While French President Macron's second term has been mired in political turmoil, he has insisted that he will finish his term (Politico, France 24, AP).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 1 January 2026 | 4.00% | -0.09% | 0% | -1.20% |
| Between 1 January 2026 and 30 June 2026 | 9.00% | +0.09% | 0% | -1.80% |
| Between 1 July 2026 and 31 December 2026 | 12.00% | -0.32% | -1.00% | +0.05% |
| Not before 1 January 2027 | 75.00% | +0.32% | +1.00% | +2.95% |