Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will NVIDIA's quarter-over-quarter Data Center revenue decline?

Started Sep 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2027 07:01AM UTC

NVIDIA remains the dominant global semiconductor company as the race for artificial intelligence continues, though there are concerns about for how long its expansion will continue (CNBC, ABC News, Yahoo, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2027 if still open and the outcome determined using "Data Center" revenue data as reported by NVIDIA (NVIDIA - Quarterly Results, see "NVIDIA Quarterly Revenue Trend"). For Q2 FY26, NVIDIA's Data Center revenue was $41,096 million, up from $39,112 million for Q1 FY26 (NVIDIA Quarterly Revenue Trend - FYQ2 2026).


For reference, here is how the fiscal quarters align with the calendar:
  • Before Q1 FY27: Ends approximately the end of January 2026
  • Q1 FY27 or Q2 FY27: Ends approximately the end of April 2026 or July 2026
  • Q3 FY27 or Q4 FY27: Ends approximately the end of October 2026 or January 2027
  • Q1 FY28 or Q2 FY28: Ends approximately the end of April 2027 or July 2027

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before Q1 FY27 11.10% 0% 0% -7.20%
Q1 FY27 or Q2 FY27 15.80% 0% 0% +1.40%
Q3 FY27 or Q4 FY27 19.00% 0% 0% +1.20%
Q1 FY28 or Q2 FY28 32.60% 0% 0% +1.10%
Not before Q3 FY28 21.50% 0% 0% +3.50%

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