Remo-P asks:
When will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship rocket?
Started
Oct 17, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 17, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Oct 17, 2026 07:01AM UTC
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While SpaceX has successfully performed three "catches" of the Super Heavy booster as of 16 October 2025, it has not attempted a "catch" of a Starship (Space.com, Teslarati). The most recent Starship launch was Flight 11 completed on 13 October 2025 (CNN). A catch will be considered successful upon the ship being "caught" as intended after a space flight reaching an altitude of at least 100 km (Britannica - Karman Line). The capture of the booster will not count.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 15 February 2026 | 2.20% | 0% | +0.20% | -1.60% |
| Between 15 February 2026 and 16 June 2026 | 20.50% | 0% | -1.20% | -11.60% |
| Between 17 June 2026 and 16 October 2026 | 40.90% | 0% | +1.00% | +2.10% |
| Not before 17 October 2026 | 36.40% | 0% | 0% | +11.10% |