Before 18 April 2026, will French authorities announce or acknowledge that any of the suspected perpetrators of the 19 October 2025 Louvre jewel heist have been captured?
Closed Oct 26, 2025 10:00AM UTC
On 19 October 2025, a group of thieves used a basket lift to break into the Louvre Museum and steal eight "priceless" pieces of jewelry from the 19th century (AP, BBC, CBS News, French Ministry of Culture [in French]). Only the capture of an individual who legal authorities assert actually entered the Louvre as part of the heist on 19 October 2025 or immediately facilitated the escape (four individuals total) will count, and the capture by the legal authorities of any country will count once announced or acknowledged by the French (ABC News).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73% | |
| No | 27% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 17 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 113 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 23 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 261 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
