The Monkey Cage asks

Will the U.S. federal debt ceiling be raised or suspended before 1 December 2017?

Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC

The U.S. debt ceiling has been raised. This question closed as "Yes", with an end date of 8 September 2017. On 15 March 2017, the U.S. government's suspension of the debt limit expired (USA Today). Since then, the U.S. Treasury has undertaken "extraordinary measures" to prevent default (CNBC). The Congressional Budget Office estimates that these measures will enable the Treasury to service U.S. debt into the fall (CBO). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 374
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 836
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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