Remo-P asks:

Before 1 April 2026, will the US president announce that he will renominate Jared Isaacman to be the Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)?

Started Oct 31, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2025 10:42PM UTC

President Trump nominated Jared Isaacman to be the Administrator of NASA when his second term began but withdrew the nomination in the summer of 2025 (CBS News). Trump met with Isaacman again in October 2025 amid reported tensions over Acting Administrator and Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy's desire to continue running the independent agency (CNBC, CNN, Astronomy.com). The question will close upon the president announcing anyone as his choice of nominee as the head of NASA.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 4 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 32%
No 68%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 9
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 113
Number of Forecasts 14
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 261
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.499
2.
-0.394
3.
-0.28935
4.
-0.2369
5.
-0.0468

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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