Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Song of the Year?

Started Nov 08, 2025 03:15PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The 2026 Grammy Awards are scheduled for 1 February 2026 (Grammy.com, Billboard). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner (Grammy.com - Voting Process).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
"Abracadabra," Lady Gaga, Henry Walter & Andrew Watt, songwriters (Lady Gaga) 33.20% -4.50% -3.70%
"Anxiety," Jaylah Hickmon, songwriter (Doechii) 3.50% 0% 0%
"APT.," Amy Allen, Christopher Brody Brown, Rogét Chahayed, Omer Fedi, Philip Lawrence, Bruno Mars, Chae Young Park, Theron Thomas & Henry Walter, songwriters (Rosé, Bruno Mars) 13.20% +1.00% +1.00%
"DtMF," Marco Daniel Borrero, Scott Dittrich, Benjamin Falik, Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio, Hugo René Sención Sanabria, Tyler Thomas Spry & Roberto José Rosado Torres, songwriters (Bad Bunny) 11.90% +0.50% +0.40%
"Golden" (from KPop Demon Hunters) — Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick, songwriters (HUNTR/X: Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami) 12.90% +4.00% +3.80%
"Luther," Jack Antonoff, Roshwita Larisha Bacha, Matthew Bernard, Scott Bridgeway, Sam Dew, Ink, Kendrick Lamar, Solána Rowe, Mark Anthony Spears & Kamasi Washington, songwriters (Kendrick Lamar with SZA) 12.00% -1.50% -2.80%
"Manchild," Amy Allen, Jack Antonoff & Sabrina Carpenter, songwriters (Sabrina Carpenter) 6.80% 0% +0.80%
"Wildflower," Billie Eilish O'Connell & Finneas O'Connell, songwriters (Billie Eilish) 6.50% +0.50% +0.50%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username