Will early elections for the French National Assembly (Assemblée Nationale) be called before 1 August 2026?
Closing Aug 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
While French Prime Minister Lecornu survived a very tumultuous October 2025 to remain in office, political and financial fights in the National Assembly are expected to continue (Politico, The Hill, Le Monde). President Macron suggested in the past that he may call new elections if the government falls (Morocco World News, Yahoo [Reuters]). The constitutional mechanism used to dissolve the National Assembly and call early elections is found in Article 12 of the Constitution of the Fifth Republic (French Constitution). The date an election is scheduled to take place is immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.