The Economist asks:
What percentage of the party list vote will the Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, or AfD) win in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag (state parliament) elections?
Started
Nov 21, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Sep 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
After coming in second in the February 2025 German federal elections, AfD has been making gains in local elections as well (Economist, Deutsche Welle, Wahlrecht.de [in German]). As of the launch of this question, the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag elections are scheduled for 6 September 2026 (Bundesrat). Please note that voters in Saxony-Anhalt Landtag elections provide two votes: one for constituencies and one for party lists (Wahlrecht.de [in German], Deutsche Welle).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 20.0% | 2.00% | 0% | -1.00% | -2.00% |
| At least 20.0%, but less than 25.0% | 7.00% | 0% | -1.00% | -1.00% |
| At least 25.0%, but less than 30.0% | 16.00% | 0% | -1.00% | +6.00% |
| At least 30.0%, but less than 35.0% | 20.00% | 0% | +1.00% | 0% |
| At least 35.0%, but less than 40.0% | 24.00% | 0% | +1.00% | -3.00% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 45.0% | 16.00% | 0% | +2.00% | -4.00% |
| At least 45.0%, but less than 50.0% | 10.00% | 0% | -1.00% | +3.00% |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 55.0% | 3.00% | 0% | -1.00% | +1.00% |
| 55.0% or more | 2.00% | 0% | +1.00% | 0% |