Will the Kurdistan Regional Government hold a popular vote on independence before 1 January 2018?
Started
Jun 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 25, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 25, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
The Kurdistan Regional Government has scheduled a referendum for September of 2017, despite opposition by Iraq, Turkey, and others (Bloomberg, Al-Monitor, Reuters, US News).
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The Kurdistan Regional Government held a popular vote (BBC). This question was closed as “a) Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence” with an end date of 25 September 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
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The Kurdistan Regional Government held a popular vote (BBC). This question was closed as “a) Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence” with an end date of 25 September 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence | 99% | |
Yes, but a majority will vote against independence | 0% | |
No | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 129 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 520 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |