How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver in 2026?
Started
Feb 06, 2026 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tesla deliveries fell 8.6% in 2025 vs 2024 as US subsidies for EVs ended, but the company is looking to return to growth (CNBC, Yahoo [The Truth About Cars]). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using Tesla's "Production & Delivery" press release for the fourth quarter of 2026 (Tesla - Quarterly Results). In 2025, Tesla delivered a total of 1,636,129 vehicles (Tesla - Q4 2025 Production & Deliveries).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1,600,000 | 31.70% | +6.70% |
| At least 1,600,000, but fewer than 1,680,000 | 28.20% | -5.20% |
| At least 1,680,000, but fewer than 1,760,000 | 21.70% | -2.10% |
| At least 1,760,000, but fewer than 1,840,000 | 5.20% | -0.30% |
| At least 1,840,000, but fewer than 1,920,000 | 2.20% | +0.90% |
| At least 1,920,000, but fewer than 2,000,000 | 0.50% | 0% |
| 2,000,000 or more | 10.50% | 0% |