What proportion of seats will the MPLA win in Angola's upcoming parliamentary elections?
Started
Jun 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 26, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 26, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
MPLA won 150 of 220 seats. This question was closed as “a) majority” with an end date of 26 August 2017. (Africa News)
Angola's president of over 30 years, Jose Eduardo dos Santos, announced that he will step down as president before the 2017 elections, creating uncertainty over whether the MPLA will maintain its dominant role in Angolan politics (Deutsche Welle, World Politics Review, News24).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| A majority | 100% | |
| A plurality, but not a majority | 0% | |
| Not a plurality | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 59 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 274 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
