Will al-Shabaab attack a US diplomatic facility in Africa before 1 July 2018?
Started
Jul 25, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Al-Shabaab has conducted attacks in Somalia and Kenya (BBC, ABC News, The Guardian).
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 2.00% | |
No | 98.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 300 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1075 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |