Before 1 January 2018, will the Catalan government hold a public vote on independence?
Started
Aug 08, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Despite Spain's objections, the Catalan government has declared it will hold a referendum later this year (The Guardian, NY Times, Reuters).
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The Catalan Government held a public vote on 1 October 2017, and a majority voted in favor of independence. (Catalan Government, CNN, Reuters, Wall Street Journal, Catalan Government). This question closed as "a) Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence," with an end date of 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The Catalan Government held a public vote on 1 October 2017, and a majority voted in favor of independence. (Catalan Government, CNN, Reuters, Wall Street Journal, Catalan Government). This question closed as "a) Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence," with an end date of 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence | 58% | |
Yes, and a majority will vote against independence | 1% | |
No | 41% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 185 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 653 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |