Who will be elected governor of Virginia in November 2017?
Started
Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
The Virginia gubernatorial race will take place on 7 November 2017. The campaign has drawn national attention and money, with both Democrats and Republicans viewing the contest as a referendum on President Trump (The Washington Post, The Washington Post, The Hill).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Ralph Northam (Democrat) won Virgina's gubernatorial race by a margin greater than 5% (Real Clear Politics). This question closed as "a) Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%," with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Ralph Northam (Democrat) won Virgina's gubernatorial race by a margin greater than 5% (Real Clear Politics). This question closed as "a) Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%," with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5% | 18% | |
| Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less | 58% | |
| Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less | 24% | |
| Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin greater than 5% | 0% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 299 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 658 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |