Who will win the special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th District?
Started
Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
A special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th district is attracting national attention as the next electoral flashpoint between Democrats and Republicans. If Democrats win, they would gain total control of Washington's state government, making it the party's seventh state government trifecta in the country. (Politico, The Seattle Times)
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Manka Dhingra (Democrat) won Washington's special election by a margin greater than 5%. This question closed as "a) Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%" with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) won Washington's special election by a margin greater than 5%. This question closed as "a) Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%" with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5% | 81% | |
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less | 17% | |
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less | 2% | |
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin greater than 5% | 0% | |
None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 64 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 183 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |