HFC asks
Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Senegal during September 2017?
Started
Aug 23, 2017 08:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
This question closed as "a) yes" with an end date of 9 September 2017.
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (ACLED). The question will resolve as "yes" if ACLED records any event for which: 'COUNTRYÍ is the country of interest; 'EVENT_DATE' falls in the period of interest; and 'EVENT TYPEÍ is: Riots/Protests. The question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved when the relevant data is first released.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 98.00% | |
| No | 2.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 81 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 154 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |