HFC asks

What will be the approval rate for Japan's cabinet in NHK's monthly survey in September 2017?

Started Aug 30, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 11, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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NHK survey results reveal the approval rate for Japan's cabinet to be 44%. This question closed as "d) Between 41% and 46%, inclusive, with and end date of September 11th, 2017. This question will be resolved using the approval rate reported for the time of interest on Nippon Hōsō Kyōkai (NHK)'s website. The cabinet approval rate is reported as 支持する ("Support to”) in the first table 内閣:安倍内閣 (“Cabinet: Abe Cabinet”) on that page. The question will be resolved using Google Translate services. Months are indicated by their corresponding number (e.g. 1月 = January). If NHK conducts more than one survey in a month, question resolution will be based on the first set of results posted. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 32% 0%
Between 32% and 37%, inclusive 6%
More than 37% but less than 41% 41%
Between 41% and 46%, inclusive 52%
More than 46% 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 139
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.160886
2.
-0.1428
3.
-0.103852
4.
-0.0937
5.
-0.084318

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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