The Monkey Cage & SCOTUSblog ask

In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

Started Sep 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 20, 2018 05:00PM UTC

In November 2016, the District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin ruled 2-1 that the state legislature's redistricting plan was unconstitutional (Reuters, NBC News, SCOTUS Blog). The Supreme Court agreed in July 2017 to hear an appeal (NY Times). Oral arguments are currently scheduled to be heard on 3 October 2017. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
In Gill v. Whitford, the Supreme Court did not rule that any part of Wisconsin’s redistricting plan was an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander. This question closed as "b) No" with an end date of 18 June. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 65.00%
No 35.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1241
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 1836
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.78
4.
-0.78
5.
-0.777

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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