HFC asks

What will the monthly Period-over-Period change in the consumer price index (CPI) be for the United Kingdom in September 2017?

Started Sep 06, 2017 04:30PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using data from the International Monetary Fund, and can be found after ensuring the country of interest is selected from the Country drop down menu, and 'Consumer Price Index, All Items' is selected from the Indicator drop down menu. The relevant row is: '[Country of Interest], Consumer Price Index, All Items,' and the relevant column will be '2017 [Month of Interest].' Question will be resolved based on initially reported values expected to be published the first week of the following month. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The UK's monthly Period-over-Period change in the consumer price index (CPI) for September 2017 was .29. This question closed as "c) More than .17 but less than .30," with and end date of 30 September. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than .01 0%
Between .01 and .17, inclusive 26%
More than .17 but less than .30 53%
Between .30 and .46, inclusive 21%
More than .46 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 92
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.122585
2.
-0.115094
3.
-0.106487
4.
-0.084496
5.
-0.072719

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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