HFC asks

Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "South Sudan" or "Nigeria" in its headline between 6 September 2017 and 25 October 2017?

Started Sep 06, 2017 04:30PM UTC
Closed Oct 24, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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The Famine Early Warning Systems Network provides early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity around the world. Question will resolve as "yes" if FEWS NET publishes one or more Food Security Alert(s) in the time period of interest that includes the words "famine" and either or both of the countries of interest in its headline. FEWS NET data.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 140
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 339
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.18
3.
-0.168
5.
-0.167

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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