Started Sep 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 31, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya's presidential election rerun?

Uhuru Kenyatta was declared the winner of Kenya's August presidential elections, however, Kenyatta's opponent Raila Odinga challenged the results and the Supreme Court declared them invalid (Washington Post). A rerun election is planned for October 2017. Kenya's constitution allows petitioners to challenge the results of an election at the Supreme Court seven days after the date of the declaration of the results of the presidential election. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


Uhuru Kenyatta won the election rerun and the result will be challenged in the Supreme Court. This question closed as “a) Yes and the result will be challenged in the Supreme Court,” with an end date of 6 November 2017. (Bloomberg, Reuters) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and the result will be challenged in the Supreme Court 73%
Yes, and the result will NOT be challenged in the Supreme Court 27%
No, and the result will be challenged in the Supreme Court 0%
No, and the result will NOT be challenged in the Supreme Court. 0%

No. of
Forecasters

98

Forecast
Count

220

Crowd Brier Score

0.6011


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.805
2.
-0.753
4.
-0.71
5.
-0.697

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