HFC asks

What will the short-term interest rate be for Australia (AUS) in October 2017?

Started Oct 04, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using monthly data reported by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Data is retrievable via download or on the 'Short-term interest rates' table on the web site.  The relevant country can be found in the HIGHLIGHTED COUNTRIES or LOCATION field, and the relevant time period can be found in the TIME field. Values will be rounded to the nearest one-hundredth. Question will be resolved when the data is released, likely the month after the period of interest.
Resolution Notes

Value: 1.70
https://data.oecd.org/interest/short-term-interest-rates.htm

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1.68 0%
Between 1.68 and 1.72, inclusive 99%
More than 1.72 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 193
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.054
2.
-0.054
3.
-0.048
4.
-0.041

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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