HFC asks
Before 27 December 2017, will Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania accuse Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission?
Started
Oct 11, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
If the relevant governments are overthrown during an invasion, an announcement by a third party government accusing Russia of invasion will count. Examples of past accusations of Russian military intervention include Georgia's claim that Russia invaded its territory in August of 2008 (Belfast Telegraph), Ukraine's claim the Russia invaded Crimea in February 2014 (Sputnik News), Ukraine's condemnation of illegal Russian fighters in Eastern Ukraine in June 2014 (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine), and Ukraine's statement in August 2014 that Russia military forces had crossed the border and were actively engaged in fighting (The Guardian).
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Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania have not accused Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 27 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania have not accused Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 27 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 310 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 582 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |