HFC asks
How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party win in the upcoming election for Japan's House of Representatives?
Started
Oct 18, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
On September 28, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe dissolved the Japanese House of Representatives, paving the way for snap elections to be held on October 22 (Nikkei; Bloomberg). Seats won by any current or potential coalition partners, including Komeito, are immaterial to the resolution of this question.
The Liberal Democratic Party won 284 seats in the election for Japan's House of Representatives (NHK). This question closed as "c) 276-285," with an end date of 21 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The Liberal Democratic Party won 284 seats in the election for Japan's House of Representatives (NHK). This question closed as "c) 276-285," with an end date of 21 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 232 | 0% | |
| 232 - 275 | 0% | |
| 276 - 285 | 17% | |
| 286 - 310 | 82% | |
| More than 310 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 36 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |