HFC asks

What will be the FAO Sugar Price Index in October 2017?

Started Oct 18, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2017 03:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using data reported by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Relevant data is available at FAO in the 'FAO food price index' table. This question will be resolved based on initial values typically released the first week of the following month. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Value: 202.8 - released 2-Nov
http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 191.3 0%
Between 191.3 and 200.3, inclusive 0%
More than 200.3 but less than 208.1 100%
Between 208.1 and 217.1, inclusive 0%
More than 217.1 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 119
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.02545
2.
-0.02465
3.
-0.02435
4.
-0.023218
5.
-0.022496

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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