HFC asks

How many influenza positive viruses will FluNet record for Qatar between 13 November 2017 and 19 November 2017 (epidemiological week 46)?

Started Nov 01, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 19, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Society   Health  

FluNet is the World Health Organization's global web-based tool for influenza virological surveillance. Relevant data can be accessed via FluNet functions, 'Download influenza laboratory surveillance data from any week here. Select by: 'Country, area or territory'; Filter by: the country of interest; set the time period to cover the epidemiological-week(s) of interest; and then click 'Display report.' This question will be resolved using the value or sum of values reported in ‘Total number of influenza positive viruses’ or ‘ALL_INF’ for all reporting weeks within the period of interest. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved when data for the period of interest is released. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Exact value: 365
http://apps.who.int/flumart/Default?ReportNo=12

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 27 0%
Between 27 and 120, inclusive 31%
More than 120 but less than 200 64%
Between 200 and 293, inclusive 5%
More than 293 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 184
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.918753
2.
-0.561631
3.
-0.532777
4.
-0.5222
5.
-0.437617

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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