When will the government of Iran issue foreign currency denominated bonds?

Started Nov 14, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Iran has not issued a foreign currency denominated bond since it issued euro-denominated bonds in 2002. After the nuclear deal speculation rose about a bond offering (The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, The Financial Tribune) and Iran has been in discussions with ratings agencies (Gulf News, The Financial Tribune). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. This question resolved as "Not before 1 November 2018". See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 February 2018 0%
Between 1 February and 30 April 2018, inclusive 0%
Between 1 May 2018 and 31 July 2018, inclusive 0%
Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 November 2018 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 253
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 565
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.057773
2.
-0.05408
3.
-0.053064
4.
-0.052083
5.
-0.044995

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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